Analysing Transfers 2013-15

Photo: Matt Boulton / Chance illustration

Perhaps more than ever, this transfer window has been dominated by debates over the value of football transfer fees. My initial aim was inspired by Everton’s quick start in the transfer window, buying Jordan Pickford, Davy Klaassen and Michael Keane in a price range of £20-25m, with hot takes declaring Everton had the best transfer window out of all Premier League clubs. Then we had that Neymar fee, was it a fair fee considering footballs hyperinflation or is he is entirely overvalued? And the Siggurdsson Saga finally reached its finale, after we discussed every set piece he has ever kicked, as he moved to Everton for around £45m.

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Newcastle: 2017/18 Season Preview

By John-Paul@AttackingCB

 

After relegation in 15/16, Newcastle bounced straight back to the Premier League by winning the Championship in dramatic fashion last season. With Rafa Benitez opting to continue as manager and strong investment in the squad, many expected Newcastle to stroll through the Championship but in reality, it is simply not as easy as that – Newcastle are only the second team to go straight back up automatically in the last 7 seasons. You only need to look to Aston Villa and Norwich to see how difficult it can be to rebuild so they should be given credit for getting it right.

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A Pre-Season profile: Manchester City

By Alex Dodgshon

Does buying the most expensive ingredients make you a better meal?

Much of the talk of the summer transfer window has been about City’s big spending. Whilst comical comparisons have been made between City’s spending and some countries’ annual defence budget, these are fruitless when looking at Premier League revenue. The money is there to be spent, and it has been.

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Our writers’ Premier League predictions

With the new Premier League season starting tonight, we’ve asked a selection of our writers to give their predictions for the upcoming season.

Giving their opinion we have: Raven, Luke, Matt, George, MasroorAlec, Nathan and Ashwin.

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2017/18 Season Preview – Leicester City

After the five years Leicester City fans have had you could forgive them for settling for a quiet season.

They have seen more drama than most fans experience in a lifetime. A quick recap: 2013 – Lose Championship playoff semi-final in the last minute after missing a penalty seconds before, 2014 – promoted to Premier League with 102 points, 2015 – win seven of last nine games to complete one of the greatest great escapes, 2016 – Premier League title by ten points, 2017 – Brush with relegation and Champions League quarter-final.

Exhausted? Well, it’s likely things will calm down this season as Craig Shakespeare starts his first full season as a manager. Aiming to improve on a mid-table finish, upper mid-table may be the best the club can hope for, as the top six looks increasingly like a closed shop.

In this preview, I’ll have a look at some of the numbers from last season, how the squad is shaping up, examine the transfer business and give my predictions for the upcoming season.

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A Metric for Ball Retention

As a Spurs fan and tactics blogger I spend roughly 6 or 7 hours a day thinking about Mousa Dembele. The brilliance of his unique skillset but also the downside of being quite reliant on a unique skillset that belongs to an injury-prone 30 year old. The result is having the question “Who can replace Dembele?” kicking around inside my head at all times.

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How in the World Does Nice Overperform Expected Goals? Part One: The Defence

After a strong season under Claude Puel in 2016, finishing 4th, Nice got even stronger under the control of Swiss manager Lucien Favre, finishing 3rd in Ligue 1 and securing a Champions League qualifying berth in 2017. However, as a (self-professed) stats guy, I like to look at Expected Goals – soccer analytics’ most popular model – to see if the league table lies.

Continue reading How in the World Does Nice Overperform Expected Goals? Part One: The Defence

Chance Analytics is a collaborative football analytics blog, home to articles written by aspiring analysts. Our aim is to offer football analytics enthusiasts the chance to get wider exposure.

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