Conversion Rates: A Reminder

By Albert Edwards – @AlbertEdwards_

Chelsea, Tottenham, Manchester City, Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester United – The Top 6.  And then Leicester – who recently had their title-winning season, followed by a return to reality. Everyone knows Leicester’s fairy-tale, where they won the Premier League in 2016, followed by a more ‘normal’ 12th place finish this year.  What links these 7 teams is that they were all in the top 10 for conversion rates in the last 5 seasons.

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What Effect Did Parachute Payments Have on Championship Performance in the 2016/17 Season?

When a club gets relegated to the championship, the most hard-hitting impact is the loss of television revenue paid to clubs purely for turning up. So, in order to combat the effects of this loss, the Premier League gives clubs parachute payments which help ease the transition. These payments last three years following the season of relegation and fall in value before clubs are faced with supporting their own finances. If the club is fortunate enough to be promoted then the parachute payments will end.

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Right Back for You

The Kyle Walker saga has finally ended, with the fullback sealing his record £50 million deal to Manchester City. Walker was an integral part of Mauricio Pochettino’s side, with his pace and agility being a real asset to Spurs’ style of building up play from the back. It goes without saying, that Spurs losing Walker this summer is a huge loss, but it’s hard to disagree with Levy deciding to sell him, given the heavy fee City were willing to pay. That money can then can be used to boost options further forward.

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Introducing pELO Ratings

With the summer break giving many analysts time to refine their models and peruse the transfer gossip, we have been hard at work developing a new metric for evaluating players across Europe’s top five leagues.

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Player Behaviour and Involvement- How Spurs Attack

Tottenham had another successful season and qualified for the Champions League and put pressure on the eventual champions. Spurs scored the most goals in the Premier League this season with 86.

Four players really stood out for Spurs in attack: Eriksen, Son, Kane and Alli. The aim of this article is to look at the importance and behaviour of these four players.

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How to be a Football Analyst – Interview with Nick Gearing

Interview by SideLineTeamTalk

Nick Gearing is Head of Analysis at League 2 Leyton Orient and runs courses for aspiring analysts. If you’ve ever wondered what analysts do or if you could be one then this will be perfect for you and, we hope, very insightful.

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In Search Of a Midfield Destroyer

By Conor Murphy –  @murphycon


The role played by N’Golo Kante in winning back to back league titles for two different clubs has brought attention to the value of a midfield destroyer. This type of player is proactively looking to win the ball back for his team. He’s not happy to sit and wait, screening in front of the defence and hoping to make an interception (I’m looking at you Michael Carrick). The midfield destroyer is going after the ball and he’s going to get it back. He puts in a lot of tackles and sometimes makes interceptions. Then, when he has the ball, he plays a simple pass to a team mate and his team retain possession. There’s no point in winning the ball back just to give it away again.

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Chance Analytics is a collaborative football analytics blog, home to articles written by aspiring analysts. Our aim is to offer football analytics enthusiasts the chance to get wider exposure.

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