Tag Archives: premier league

Our writers’ Premier League predictions

With the new Premier League season starting tonight, we’ve asked a selection of our writers to give their predictions for the upcoming season.

Giving their opinion we have: Raven, Luke, Matt, George, MasroorAlec, Nathan and Ashwin.

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2017/18 Season Preview – Leicester City

After the five years Leicester City fans have had you could forgive them for settling for a quiet season.

They have seen more drama than most fans experience in a lifetime. A quick recap: 2013 – Lose Championship playoff semi-final in the last minute after missing a penalty seconds before, 2014 – promoted to Premier League with 102 points, 2015 – win seven of last nine games to complete one of the greatest great escapes, 2016 – Premier League title by ten points, 2017 – Brush with relegation and Champions League quarter-final.

Exhausted? Well, it’s likely things will calm down this season as Craig Shakespeare starts his first full season as a manager. Aiming to improve on a mid-table finish, upper mid-table may be the best the club can hope for, as the top six looks increasingly like a closed shop.

In this preview, I’ll have a look at some of the numbers from last season, how the squad is shaping up, examine the transfer business and give my predictions for the upcoming season.

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An Introduction to Expected Saves (xS)

By Raven Beale – @sbourgenforcer

I’m not sure if someone has already written about this or not. If you have, credit to you!

This article assumes an understanding of the flagship metric of the analytics movement xG (Expected Goals). I would advise reading this, this, and this if you are not familiar with the concept.

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Player Behaviour and Involvement- How Spurs Attack

Tottenham had another successful season and qualified for the Champions League and put pressure on the eventual champions. Spurs scored the most goals in the Premier League this season with 86.

Four players really stood out for Spurs in attack: Eriksen, Son, Kane and Alli. The aim of this article is to look at the importance and behaviour of these four players.

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Chelsea’s Almost Impeccable Defence

Chelsea are on top of the table, and a lot of Chelsea’s success should be attributed to Antonio Conte, for his 3-4-3 formation, which has started a trend in the Premier League. With the most goals in the league and the third-lowest goals conceded, even the most pessimistic Chelsea fan is certain that Chelsea will lift the Premier League title.

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How to Compile Odds for Football: A Beginner’s Guide Part VI – The Weighting Game & Asian Handicaps

In today’s part of our odds compiling series, we’ll finally take a look at zeroing in on a closer xG numbers for the upcoming Premier League match in GW 34 between Liverpool and Palace using our 5 season data.

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How to Compile Odds for Football: A Beginner’s Guide Part V – League Tables and xPoints

In Part V we are going to look at refining our xGoals calculation building league tables and evaluating teams over/under performance. With games coming thick and fast this past week, I will wait for a lull in fixtures (after GW 32) to write about improving our xGoal calculations using Attack and Defence ratings.

In this part of our tutorial, we’ll be using our RANK function again to automate everything so it updates after every game week. We’ll also be learning about some metrics commonly used in fanalytics.

Continue reading How to Compile Odds for Football: A Beginner’s Guide Part V – League Tables and xPoints