20 August 2017. It’s Tottenham Hotspur versus Chelsea at the Wembley. Chelsea center-back David Luiz wins a foul close to the Tottenham penalty area around the 23rd minute, and wing-back Marcos Alonso steps up to take the free-kick. He fires it into the top-right corner of the net, and it’s 1-0 to Chelsea. In the 82nd minute, however, Chelsea substitute Michy Batshuayi heads the ball into his own goal and makes it 1-1.
SD Eibar, the smallest club in La Liga which consistently punches above its weight, are currently sitting pretty at 8th in the Spanish La Liga table. The club from a town of 27,000 people in the Basque country, which play at the little Ipurua Stadium, have been putting on some dazzling displays this season under the Basque manager José Luis Mendilibar.
This is part two of a two-part series explaining how Lucien Favre’s Nice overperform expected goals, that cool new stat they show on MOTD, by a huge margin. Part one explained how Nice’s defence overperform expected goals against (xGA). In part two, I explain how Nice’s attack overperform expected goals for (xGF). Let’s jump right in.
The 28 year old Serbian attacking midfielder has been representing Southampton for the past three seasons helping the Saints finish 7th, 6th and 8th respectively in those seasons. I chose to write about Tadic as I see him get abuse from Southampton fans and feel he gets little media attention. He joined the south coast side in 2014 after a great season with Twente in Holland where he produced this attacking output:
By Freddie Wilson – @thewonderofmu
The Placement of Penalties
The award of a penalty brings the expectation among fans of a goal, but what does the data tell us about the specific probabilities of success?
By Raven Beale – @sbourgenforcer
I’m not sure if someone has already written about this or not. If you have, credit to you!
After 12 games newly promoted Middlesbrough sit in 15th place with 11 points. They are one point from the relegation zone and have scored just 10 goals while conceding 13. While not supporting a single Premier League team I do have a soft spot for Middlesbrough, and this made me want to have a look at how they are performing.