Tag Archives: stats

How in the World Does Nice Overperform Expected Goals? Part Two: The Attack

This is part two of a two-part series explaining how Lucien Favre’s Nice overperform expected goals, that cool new stat they show on MOTD, by a huge margin. Part one explained how Nice’s defence overperform expected goals against (xGA). In part two, I explain how Nice’s attack overperform expected goals for (xGF). Let’s jump right in.

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500 Word Scouting – Dušan Tadić

The 28 year old Serbian attacking midfielder has been representing Southampton for the past three seasons helping the Saints finish 7th, 6th and 8th respectively in those seasons. I chose to write about Tadic as I see him get abuse from Southampton fans and feel he gets little media attention. He joined the south coast side in 2014 after a great season with Twente in Holland where he produced this attacking output:

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The Science Behind the Perfect Penalty

By Freddie Wilson – @thewonderofmu

The Placement of Penalties

The award of a penalty brings the expectation among fans of a goal, but what does the data tell us about the specific probabilities of success?

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An Introduction to Expected Saves (xS)

By Raven Beale – @sbourgenforcer

I’m not sure if someone has already written about this or not. If you have, credit to you!

This article assumes an understanding of the flagship metric of the analytics movement xG (Expected Goals). I would advise reading this, this, and this if you are not familiar with the concept.

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The Best Full-back in the World: Emerson Palmieri

There is something about Brazil and great full-backs, isn’t there? Recent World Cup outings of Brazil often featured the greatest full-backs in the world, such as Carlos Alberto, Roberto Carlos, Cafu, Maicon, and Dani Alves. They practically redefined the position, making it more attacking-oriented and creative.  Even now, the full-back position is ruled by brilliant Brazilians. Marcelo, an aging Dani Alves, Danilo, and Alex Sandro are some well-known full-backs.

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How are Middlesbrough Performing this Season?

After 12 games newly promoted Middlesbrough sit in 15th place with 11 points. They are one point from the relegation zone and have scored just 10 goals while conceding 13. While not supporting a single Premier League team I do have a soft spot for Middlesbrough, and this made me want to have a look at how they are performing.

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What’s up with Leicester?

After the triumph of last season, Leicester City find themselves sitting in a disappointing 14th spot in the Premier League after 11 games. So, what’s happened? How much worse are they performing compared to last season? How much of an effect has the loss of N’Golo Kanté had? Are the additional Champions League games proving a distraction? I’ll investigate these questions, looking at the numbers to try and find answers.

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